Inter vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SIE
1 - 2
INT
15%
24%
62%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
INT
4 - 2
CHI
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 1
INT
24%
22%
55%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
LAZ
0 - 3
INT
25%
26%
49%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 1
REG
44%
27%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ROM
3 - 2
CAG
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NAP
2 - 2
CAG
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |