Inter vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
INT
3 - 0
ETR
90%
8%
3%
|
85 | 10 | 75 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
INT
21%
27%
52%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 2
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
ETR
0 - 0
INT
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 9 | 77 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
INT
2 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1974 |
CAG
0 - 0
VIC
60%
25%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
CAG
2 - 2
COM
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
CAG
1 - 1
ARZ
73%
17%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
TOR
2 - 0
CAG
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
SSS
1 - 0
CAG
24%
27%
50%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | -1 |