Inter vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
PAL
1 - 1
INT
18%
23%
59%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
INT
1 - 1
NAP
68%
21%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
VIC
0 - 1
INT
24%
26%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
INT
1 - 1
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
COM
1 - 1
INT
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 1
FIO
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 6
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAL
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
CAG
1 - 1
REG
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
CAG
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |