Inter vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
INT
1 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
INT
3 - 0
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
VIC
2 - 1
INT
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
INT
3 - 0
MAN
78%
16%
7%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SAM
1 - 0
BRE
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 1
MAN
57%
26%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
SPA
3 - 1
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 3
BRE
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 5
TOR
40%
30%
31%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |