Inter vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
GEN
0 - 0
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
INT
0 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
FIO
3 - 3
INT
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1946 |
ROM
3 - 0
INT
45%
24%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1946 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 1
NAP
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
GEN
4 - 0
BRE
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1946 |
BRE
2 - 0
ACM
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1946 |
BRE
4 - 1
VIC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |