Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
EMP
0 - 2
INT
27%
26%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INT
2 - 1
JUV
24%
26%
50%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
INT
0 - 2
HBS
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PES
1 - 2
INT
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
PAL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAM
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
NAP
3 - 1
BOL
87%
10%
4%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BOL
2 - 1
CAG
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 1
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BOL
1 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |