Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
PES
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UDI
3 - 0
INT
34%
26%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
INT
1 - 1
GEN
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
INT
2 - 0
VER
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
LAZ
1 - 0
INT
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
BOL
4 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 2
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 2
BOL
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 3
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |