Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
INT
0 - 1
NOV
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
4 - 0
INT
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
INT
4 - 4
PAL
74%
16%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 0
INT
17%
24%
60%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
71%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAT
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |