Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
NAP
1 - 2
INT
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
REG
1 - 1
INT
21%
27%
52%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1996 |
INT
1 - 1
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
INT
3 - 4
SAM
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
VIC
2 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
BOL
0 - 0
PRG
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
CAG
2 - 2
BOL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 1
PIA
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |