Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
INT
28%
23%
48%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
INT
4 - 2
SPA
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 2
INT
32%
24%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
INT
2 - 0
LAZ
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
GEN
3 - 3
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
TRI
3 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BOL
2 - 1
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |