Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SAM
1 - 3
INT
30%
23%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
ACM
1 - 3
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
VNZ
0 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
BRE
2 - 1
BOL
33%
28%
39%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
BOL
3 - 2
SAM
83%
11%
7%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
VIC
3 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
BOL
1 - 0
AND
75%
14%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
ATL
0 - 1
BOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |