Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
LIV
2 - 2
INT
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
INT
2 - 1
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1939 |
GEN
1 - 3
INT
59%
20%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
INT
5 - 3
BAR
75%
15%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 0
ROM
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
BOL
4 - 0
NAP
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
1 - 1
BOL
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |