Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
16%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
LEO
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 2
INT
34%
24%
41%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BIE
1 - 2
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 4
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
INT
1 - 0
USC
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
BOL
2 - 2
TRI
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LAZ
3 - 0
BOL
49%
23%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 10
BOL
34%
22%
44%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIU
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
GEN
0 - 3
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |