Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Inter vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
JUV
9 - 1
INT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
SAM
4 - 2
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
INT
1 - 2
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
MUD
4 - 1
BIR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 3
TOT
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 0
BIR
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1961 |
CAR
0 - 2
BIR
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |