Inter vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LAZ
3 - 3
INT
52%
23%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
INT
4 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 4
INT
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MUN
0 - 3
LEV
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 1
WAL
86%
11%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
2 - 3
HSV
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
LEV
1 - 2
FCB
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
ARB
2 - 2
LEV
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |