Inter vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
PIS
1 - 0
INT
26%
29%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
INT
1 - 0
SAM
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
COM
1 - 0
INT
20%
29%
51%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
WAR
0 - 1
INT
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
INT
3 - 3
TOR
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ROM
4 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
34%
31%
35%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATL
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDI
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
1 - 0
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |