Inter vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
TOR
4 - 0
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
INT
0 - 2
ACM
44%
28%
29%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
NAP
2 - 0
INT
24%
29%
47%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
INT
1 - 0
VER
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
CAG
2 - 3
INT
41%
27%
31%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
LAZ
2 - 1
ATL
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
35%
32%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAM
47%
31%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
VER
1 - 1
ATL
51%
29%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |