Inter vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
UDI
1 - 0
INT
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
INT
2 - 1
FIO
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
GEN
0 - 0
INT
34%
25%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
INT
1 - 0
TRI
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 0
ATL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 1
UDI
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
PAD
0 - 0
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |