Inter vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACL
3 - 1
INT
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
INT
3 - 1
LAZ
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 1
INT
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
INT
0 - 0
GEN
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 0
ATL
56%
21%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 2
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |