Inter vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
INT
2 - 1
VNZ
79%
13%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
BOL
0 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
INT
1 - 0
NOV
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
2 - 0
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACL
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
4 - 0
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 1
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |