Inter vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
49%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1990 |
INT
3 - 1
ROM
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
INT
2 - 0
SAM
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1990 |
LEC
0 - 0
INT
16%
26%
58%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
INT
3 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
7%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1990 |
VER
0 - 0
ASC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1990 |
ASC
1 - 2
JUV
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 0
ASC
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1990 |
ASC
1 - 1
ROM
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1990 |
ASC
2 - 1
INT
23%
28%
50%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |