Inter vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
INT
27%
29%
45%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
INT
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
INT
2 - 2
NAP
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
TOR
0 - 0
INT
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
INT
0 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAM
62%
24%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASC
40%
30%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ASC
3 - 0
UDI
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
ROM
2 - 1
ASC
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
ASC
2 - 2
PIS
65%
24%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |