Inter vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1977 |
COM
0 - 2
INT
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
ACM
2 - 0
INT
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1977 |
INT
0 - 0
LEC
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
INT
1 - 1
VIC
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 1
INT
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 2
ASC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ASC
0 - 0
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
TER
3 - 2
ASC
43%
30%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 2
ASC
51%
29%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |