Inter vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
INT
3 - 1
CES
78%
16%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
CAG
1 - 1
INT
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
INT
2 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1974 |
INT
2 - 1
ACM
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
INT
0 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 1
PAR
72%
20%
9%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
ASC
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
ASC
2 - 0
BRE
65%
23%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASC
35%
30%
34%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |