Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-3
Inter vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
INT
3 - 2
LEV
53%
24%
23%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
LAZ
3 - 3
INT
52%
23%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
INT
4 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
CAT
1 - 0
BAR
24%
27%
49%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
INT
19%
23%
58%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BAR
0 - 0
ANC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MES
2 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |