Inter vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BOL
3 - 1
INT
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
INT
4 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 5
INT
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
INT
5 - 1
ACL
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
TOR
1 - 3
INT
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRI
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
49%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
BAR
0 - 0
ATL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ACL
1 - 0
BAR
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |