Inter vs Andrea Doria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1943 |
LIV
4 - 2
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
INT
1 - 4
VNZ
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1943 |
ACM
0 - 3
INT
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1943 |
INT
1 - 2
VIC
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
FIO
2 - 0
INT
52%
22%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Andrea Doria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
ACD
2 - 2
AND
29%
23%
49%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |