Europa League 1/32
Global 3-0
Inter vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 0
INT
22%
29%
50%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
INT
2 - 1
UDI
71%
18%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 1
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
INT
4 - 1
FCC
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 4
INT
14%
22%
65%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
RMA
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
AEK
1 - 0
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
UJP
4 - 1
AEK
84%
10%
7%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
AEK
2 - 0
UJP
6%
28%
66%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |