Inter vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
UDI
1 - 3
INT
39%
27%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FIO
0 - 0
INT
33%
27%
40%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
SIE
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CAG
2 - 2
INT
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
INT
5 - 4
GEN
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
JUV
15%
25%
60%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |