Internacional vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
SPO
1 - 5
SCI
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAR
48%
27%
26%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
SCI
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
SCI
3 - 0
COR
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 2
SCI
20%
25%
56%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 1
GOI
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2007 |
PAL
3 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 0
ATM
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
VAS
1 - 0
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
VAS
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |