Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-1
Internacional vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
4 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
SCI
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 2
SCI
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
15%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
PAL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 1
SCI
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 5
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 2
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |