Copa Libertadores Final
Global 4-3
Internacional vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 2
SCI
28%
26%
46%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
SCI
57%
22%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
SCI
43%
26%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 0
LIB
59%
25%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
62%
22%
15%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
GOI
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
SCI
57%
22%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAO
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2006 |
SAO
3 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 4
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |