Internacional vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
SCI
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
1 - 2
JUV
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
COR
0 - 0
SCI
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2004 |
SCI
6 - 0
ATP
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
SCI
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
56%
22%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
22%
22%
56%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAO
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |