Internacional vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
SCI
4 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
VAS
1 - 1
SCI
38%
26%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCI
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ECS
2 - 6
SCI
8%
19%
74%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
FFL
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SPO
0 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAU
3 - 3
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 2
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |