Internacional vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CER
0 - 0
SCI
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VER
1 - 1
SCI
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 1
SCI
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SLU
0 - 1
SCI
9%
17%
75%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
SCI
4 - 1
SAN
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 3
CAX
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAN
3 - 2
PEL
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 1
VER
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ISM
3 - 1
PEL
46%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2010 |
PEL
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |