Internacional vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
SCI
26%
27%
47%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2007 |
SCI
3 - 0
COR
48%
27%
25%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
ARN
1 - 2
SCI
20%
25%
56%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
SCI
2 - 1
FFL
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 0
SCI
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAL
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2007 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 2
FFL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAR
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |