Copa do Brasil Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Internacional vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 1
FFL
66%
20%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
PEL
4 - 1
SCI
9%
20%
71%
|
83 | 46 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
2 - 1
COR
42%
27%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
COT
0 - 1
SCI
32%
29%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 2
GRE
49%
26%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 4
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 0
FFL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 3
COR
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |