Gaucho 1 Etapas Finales Final
Global 3-3
Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAX
1 - 0
SCI
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
SCI
57%
25%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAX
81%
14%
4%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SCI
1 - 1
COR
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CRU
0 - 2
SCI
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 1
GRE
16%
25%
60%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
NOV
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
ECS
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ECS
0 - 1
NOV
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
VER
48%
26%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |