Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
4.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
SCI
4 - 4
ECS
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
LAJ
1 - 1
SCI
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
SCI
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SCI
3 - 1
PAL
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SCI
2 - 1
ATM
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 2
NOV
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 2
AIM
65%
21%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SCI
1 - 0
NOV
82%
14%
5%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
SCI
17%
24%
59%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 0
ABC
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +2 |