Internacional vs Novo Hamburgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
3.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 0
JUV
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ESP
1 - 2
SCI
6%
14%
80%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
SCI
2 - 1
ECA
94%
5%
1%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 3
SCI
9%
20%
72%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
25%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Hamburgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
SLU
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ECS
3 - 2
NOV
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 3
SCI
9%
20%
72%
|
49 | 85 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAX
2 - 0
NOV
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |