Internacional vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 0
GOI
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
CSA
2 - 1
SCI
16%
26%
58%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLA
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
SCI
1 - 0
MET
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
SCI
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 0
FEN
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |