Gaucho 1 Final
Global 6-2
Internacional vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCI
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SCI
3 - 0
CAX
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SCI
3 - 1
CRU
84%
13%
4%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAJ
0 - 1
SCI
10%
20%
70%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
REM
1 - 6
SCI
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
SCI
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
GRE
3 - 0
JUV
79%
16%
5%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |