Internacional vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
4 - 0
VER
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
SCI
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 3
SCI
9%
20%
70%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
CAN
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
4 - 0
YPI
88%
9%
3%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
90%
8%
3%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
0 - 1
GRE
18%
21%
61%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |