Gaucho 1 Final
Global 5-5
Internacional vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 2
PEÑ
47%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SCI
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
SCI
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
SCI
2 - 0
EME
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 0
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 2
UCO
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 3
GRE
10%
21%
70%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 1
GRE
10%
21%
69%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | -1 |