Internacional vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAS
0 - 1
SCI
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SCI
0 - 0
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
SCI
1 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 0
SCI
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SCI
0 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 2
CRZ
22%
25%
53%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 2
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 1
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |