Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-2
Internacional vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
4 - 0
VER
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
SCI
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
3 - 0
CAC
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 3
SCI
9%
20%
70%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SCI
1 - 1
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ARS
1 - 2
FLU
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
5 - 1
OLA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 2
BOC
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
12%
20%
69%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |