Internacional vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
COT
0 - 1
SCI
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SCI
1 - 1
PPE
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
SCI
2 - 1
REM
69%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
REM
1 - 0
SCI
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
COM
0 - 2
SCI
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLA
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 1
CFA
92%
7%
2%
|
80 | 17 | 63 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
CFA
3 - 3
BAH
7%
16%
77%
|
80 | 16 | 64 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
BAH
4 - 1
ATL
92%
6%
2%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |