Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Internacional vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1989 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
SCI
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
SCI
6 - 2
PEÑ
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
SCI
3 - 1
TAC
67%
20%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
SCI
3 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
1 - 0
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1989 |
BAH
2 - 1
UNI
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1989 |
UNI
1 - 1
BAH
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
4 - 1
TAC
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
3 - 2
MAR
84%
13%
3%
|
76 | 29 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
1 - 0
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |