Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 4-0
Internacional vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SCI
0 - 0
SLU
84%
13%
3%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
REM
1 - 2
SCI
12%
22%
66%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SCI
8%
19%
74%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SCI
3 - 1
JUV
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SCI
4 - 0
ECS
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 1
CIA
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
PRU
1 - 1
CIA
16%
23%
61%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CIA
1 - 0
TCW
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CIA
2 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
LON
1 - 1
CIA
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |