Internacional vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 3
SCI
16%
24%
60%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
SCI
1 - 1
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
COR
2 - 0
SCI
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCI
4 - 1
ATP
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 2
SCI
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
0 - 0
COR
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 3
BOT
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CEA
25%
24%
51%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
CEA
3 - 2
FLU
67%
21%
12%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
CEA
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |